Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 20:00 •
AFAS Stadion
Expected Goals
3.05 (league 1.96)
3.61 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.0% | 14.9% | 35.8% |
best score tips
3 - 3
4.8%
2 - 3
4.7%
3 - 4
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajax | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 13% | 30% |
| Defense | 96% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
10.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
100%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | — | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
AZ AlkmaarW
AjaxW
League goals
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | 2-7 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 63.4% | 36.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.99 @ Dafabet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.55 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.47 @ Unibet
No2.77 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…