Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 19:00 •
Academy Stadium
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.32)
4.68 (league 1.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9% | 10.0% | 44.2% |
best score tips
2 - 4
4.9%
2 - 5
4.6%
1 - 4
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Chelsea W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchester City W | Chelsea W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 1 |
| Form | 83% | 100% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 79% | 96% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 3.3 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
12.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
12.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
98%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchester City W | Chelsea W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 75% | — | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 25% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
Form: Manchester City W: WDWW • Chelsea W: W
League goals
| Metric | Manchester City W | Chelsea W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchester City W | Chelsea W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchester City W | Chelsea W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchester City W | Chelsea W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchester City W | Chelsea W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-5 | — | 1-9 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchester City W | Chelsea W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 40.2% | 59.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Chelsea W and +3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manchester City W = 2.28 (league 1.32), Chelsea W = 4.68 (league 1.92)
| Chelsea W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 44.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1