Veikkausliiga
— Finland
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 16:00 •
OmaSp Stadion
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.63)
0.32 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.6% | 29.1% | 9.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.8%
0 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
| FF Jaro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SJK | 0 | 20.0% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.8% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
SJK carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: SJK -12.2, FF Jaro -7.1.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
SJK
vs
FF Jaro
Elo gapSJK +82
Home / draw / away49% / 21% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3076.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3076.5
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | SJK | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1561.7 | 1514.8 |
| Form Elo | 1543.8 | 1507.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1532.5 | 1542.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1665 | 1563 |
| Defense Elo | 1481.9 | 1438.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -12.2 | -7.1 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. SJK last-5 Elo change: -12.2; FF Jaro last-5 Elo change: -7.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SJK | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 22% |
| Attack | 27% | 9% |
| Defense | 55% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
37%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SJK | FF Jaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
SJKLWL
FF JaroLDD
League goals
| Metric | SJK | FF Jaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SJK | FF Jaro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SJK | FF Jaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | SJK | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | SJK | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SJK | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.73 @ Dafabet
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away4.44 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.45 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…