1. Division
— Norway
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
NAMMO Stadion
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.71)
1.34 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.2% | 28.4% | 55.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.5%
0 - 0
14.5%
0 - 2
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| hodd | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Raufoss | 0 | 14.5% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Raufoss carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 107 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Raufoss -22.8, hodd -9.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Raufoss
vs
hodd
Elo gapRaufoss +107
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2925.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2925.1
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Raufoss | hodd |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1498.3 | 1426.8 |
| Form Elo | 1446.6 | 1402.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1511.9 | 1481.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1563.6 | 1376 |
| Defense Elo | 1433.8 | 1427.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -22.8 | -9.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Raufoss last-5 Elo change: -22.8; hodd last-5 Elo change: -9.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Raufoss | hodd |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 3 |
| Form | 0% | 33% |
| Attack | 11% | 11% |
| Defense | 58% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Raufoss | hodd | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
RaufossLL
hoddWLL
League goals
| Metric | Raufoss | hodd | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Raufoss | hodd | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 100% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Raufoss | hodd | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Raufoss | hodd |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Raufoss | hodd |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Raufoss | hodd |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.11 @ Dafabet
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Betano
No2.20 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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