1. Division
— Norway
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Nadderud Stadion
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.71)
2.49 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 18.6% | 39.2% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 2
5.8%
2 - 3
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Haugesund | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stabaek | 0 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Stabaek carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 118 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stabaek -1.5, Haugesund +42.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Stabaek
vs
Haugesund
Elo gapStabaek +118
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2986.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2986.9
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Stabaek | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1534.7 | 1452.2 |
| Form Elo | 1537.6 | 1514.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512.2 | 1458.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1656.2 | 1620.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1463.6 | 1320 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.5 | +42.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Stabaek last-5 Elo change: -1.5; Haugesund last-5 Elo change: +42.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stabaek | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 100% |
| Attack | 37% | 53% |
| Defense | 79% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 10 | 3.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stabaek | Haugesund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
StabaekLWD
HaugesundWWW
League goals
| Metric | Stabaek | Haugesund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stabaek | Haugesund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stabaek | Haugesund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stabaek | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stabaek | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stabaek | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ BetVictor
Away2.85 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.70 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.70 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…