1. Division — Norway
Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.71) 0.05 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.1% 31.2% 1.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
34.5%
0 - 0
29.5%
2 - 0
20.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ranheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Egersund 0 29.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Egersund carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 94 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Egersund +23.3, Ranheim +23.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Egersund Elo 1601.1 · +23.3
vs
Ranheim Elo 1542.4 · +23.3
Elo gapEgersund +94
Home / draw / away51% / 19% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3143.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3143.5
Elo home share 63%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Egersund Ranheim
Overall Elo1601.11542.4
Form Elo16491595
Home / Away Elo1525.41512.5
Attack Elo1653.41606.4
Defense Elo1546.21447.8
Last 5 Elo change+23.3+23.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Egersund last-5 Elo change: +23.3; Ranheim last-5 Elo change: +23.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEgersundRanheim
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack21%42%
Defense100%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 28 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Egersund Ranheim
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%
EgersundWW
RanheimWW

League goals

Metric Egersund Ranheim
HATHAT
GF total134538
GF avg1.03.02.05.03.04.0
GA total000123
GA avg0.00.00.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEgersundRanheim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.550%0%100%50%
2.550%0%100%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEgersundRanheim
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricEgersundRanheim
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEgersundRanheim
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-35-12-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For1353
Goals Against0012

Model comparison

MetricEgersundRanheim
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total47.0%53.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365
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League standings

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