Bryne vs Sogndal - footywow

1. Division — Norway

Fri, May 1 2026 • 14:00 • Bryne Stadion

Not Started

Bryne

—

Sogndal

Expected Goals

3.07 (league 1.71) 0.81 (league 1.55)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
72.9%	11.4%	6.6%

best score tips

3 - 0

10.0%

2 - 0

9.8%

3 - 1

8.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Sogndal
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Bryne	0	2.1%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	6.4%	5.1%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	9.8%	7.9%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	10.0%	8.1%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	7.7%	6.2%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	4.7%	3.8%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Bryne -34.5, Sogndal -36.6.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Bryne Elo 1448.5 · -34.5

Sogndal Elo 1490.2 · -36.6

Elo gapSogndal +7

Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%

Expected home share49%

Combined Elo2938.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2938.7

Elo home share 49%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Bryne	Sogndal
Overall Elo	1448.5	1490.2
Form Elo	1409.3	1456.2
Home / Away Elo	1477.8	1510
Attack Elo	1483.3	1558.9
Defense Elo	1413.9	1442
Last 5 Elo change	-34.5	-36.6

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Bryne last-5 Elo change: -34.5; Sogndal last-5 Elo change: -36.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Bryne	Sogndal
Played	4	4
Form	0%	25%
Attack	20%	13%
Defense	40%	33%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.8	2 \| 0.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 2.3	10 \| 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

68%

FT probability

3.5+

49%

FT probability

BTTS

69%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Bryne			Sogndal
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	2	2	4
Wins	0%	0%	0%	50%	0%	25%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	100%	100%	100%	50%	100%	75%

BryneLLLL

SogndalLLLW

League goals

Metric	Bryne			Sogndal
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	0	3	2	0	2
GF avg	1.5	0.0	0.8	1.0	0.0	0.5
GA total	5	4	9	3	7	10
GA avg	2.5	2.0	2.3	1.5	3.5	2.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Bryne		Sogndal
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	100%	25%	75%
1.5	25%	75%	25%	75%
2.5	0%	50%	0%	75%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	25%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Bryne			Sogndal
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	0	0	1	0	1
Failed to score	0	2	2	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	Bryne	Sogndal
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Bryne	Sogndal
Wins	0	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	2-0	—
Biggest losses	2-3	3-0	0-3	4-0
Goals For	2	0	2	0
Goals Against	3	3	3	4

Model comparison

Metric	Bryne	Sogndal
Form	0%	100%
Att	60%	40%
Def	53%	47%
Poisson Distribution	100%	0%
H2h	93%	7%
Goals	61%	39%
Total	66.8%	33.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Unibet

Draw3.50 @ Betfair

Away3.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365

No2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Bryne vs Sogndal

Metric	Bryne	Sogndal
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0