1. Division — Norway
Fri, May 1 2026 • 14:00 • Gjemselund Stadion
Not Started

Kongsvinger

—

Egersund

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.71) 0.97 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.9% 38.0% 60.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.2%
0 - 1
35.0%
0 - 2
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Egersund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kongsvinger 0 36.2% 35.0% 16.9% 5.4% 1.3% 0.3%
1 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Kongsvinger carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 58 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kongsvinger +23.9, Egersund +32.7.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Kongsvinger Elo 1633.8 · +23.9
vs
Egersund Elo 1610.5 · +32.7
Elo gapKongsvinger +58
Home / draw / away44% / 23% / 33%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo3244.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3244.3
Elo home share 58%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Kongsvinger Egersund
Overall Elo1633.81610.5
Form Elo1658.31656.6
Home / Away Elo15331555
Attack Elo1807.81663.2
Defense Elo1525.91559.7
Last 5 Elo change+23.9+32.7

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Kongsvinger last-5 Elo change: +23.9; Egersund last-5 Elo change: +32.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKongsvingerEgersund
Played43
Form83%100%
Attack67%47%
Defense73%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.57 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kongsvinger Egersund
HATHAT
Played224213
Wins100%50%75%100%100%100%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%
KongsvingerWWWD
EgersundWWW

League goals

Metric Kongsvinger Egersund
HATHAT
GF total5510437
GF avg2.52.52.52.03.02.3
GA total134000
GA avg0.51.51.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKongsvingerEgersund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%0%
1.5100%25%67%0%
2.550%0%67%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKongsvingerEgersund
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricKongsvingerEgersund
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKongsvingerEgersund
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3333
Goals Against1200

Model comparison

MetricKongsvingerEgersund
Form53%47%
Att59%41%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total68.5%31.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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