1. Division
— Norway
Fri, May 1 2026 • 14:00 •
Marienlyst Stadion
Expected Goals
5.86 (league 1.71)
1.60 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.3%
4 - 1
4.5%
5 - 2
4.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Strommen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stromsgodset | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Strommen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 133 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stromsgodset +22.0, Strommen -11.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Stromsgodset
vs
Strommen
Elo gapStrommen +133
Home / draw / away26% / 18% / 56%
Expected home share32%
Combined Elo3060.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3060.2
Elo home share
32%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Stromsgodset | Strommen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1446.2 | 1614 |
| Form Elo | 1471.4 | 1602.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1460.5 | 1559.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1558.3 | 1780.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1344.7 | 1537.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +22.0 | -11.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Stromsgodset last-5 Elo change: +22.0; Strommen last-5 Elo change: -11.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stromsgodset | Strommen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 58% | 44% |
| Attack | 53% | 47% |
| Defense | 60% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 7 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 9 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
89%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stromsgodset | Strommen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
StromsgodsetWLWD
StrommenLWD
League goals
| Metric | Stromsgodset | Strommen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stromsgodset | Strommen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 67% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 33% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stromsgodset | Strommen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stromsgodset | Strommen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stromsgodset | Strommen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | 4-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-2 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stromsgodset | Strommen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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