Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.89)
0.73 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.7% | 32.4% | 24.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
16.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Vidar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brattvåg | 0 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Brattvåg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 72 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Brattvåg +6.4, Vidar -33.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Brattvåg
vs
Vidar
Elo gapBrattvåg +72
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3073.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3073.6
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Brattvåg | Vidar |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1555.4 | 1518.2 |
| Form Elo | 1574.1 | 1469 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1555.3 | 1497.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1635.9 | 1856.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1435.5 | 1435.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.4 | -33.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Brattvåg last-5 Elo change: +6.4; Vidar last-5 Elo change: -33.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brattvåg | Vidar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 11% |
| Attack | 31% | 15% |
| Defense | 77% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brattvåg | Vidar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
BrattvågLWW
VidarLDL
League goals
| Metric | Brattvåg | Vidar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brattvåg | Vidar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brattvåg | Vidar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brattvåg | Vidar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brattvåg | Vidar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brattvåg | Vidar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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