Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Straume Fotballhall
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.89)
2.88 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 14.3% | 67.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Mjondalen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sotra | 0 | 2.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sotra carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 180 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sotra +14.9, Mjondalen +18.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sotra
vs
Mjondalen
Elo gapSotra +180
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share74%
Combined Elo3041.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3041.3
Elo home share
74%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Sotra | Mjondalen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1593.1 | 1448.2 |
| Form Elo | 1621 | 1473.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1553.8 | 1482.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1615.1 | 1501.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1609.1 | 1304 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.9 | +18.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sotra last-5 Elo change: +14.9; Mjondalen last-5 Elo change: +18.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sotra | Mjondalen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 67% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 77% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sotra | Mjondalen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
SotraDWW
MjondalenWLW
League goals
| Metric | Sotra | Mjondalen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sotra | Mjondalen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sotra | Mjondalen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sotra | Mjondalen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sotra | Mjondalen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sotra | Mjondalen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…