Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 17:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.82 (league 2.35)
6.87 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.3% | 5.4% | 15.1% |
best score tips
3 - 5
2.7%
4 - 5
2.6%
2 - 5
2.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Kvik Trondheim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melhus | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Melhus carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 168 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Melhus +20.8, Kvik Trondheim +23.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Melhus
vs
Kvik Trondheim
Elo gapMelhus +168
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo3097.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3097.8
Elo home share
72%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1615.2 | 1482.6 |
| Form Elo | 1647.6 | 1522.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1549.2 | 1504.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1757.4 | 1509.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1501.2 | 1486.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.8 | +23.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Melhus last-5 Elo change: +20.8; Kvik Trondheim last-5 Elo change: +23.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 100% |
| Attack | 61% | 56% |
| Defense | 67% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 3.7 | 10 | 3.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
100%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
MelhusWDW
Kvik TrondheimWWW
League goals
| Metric | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 33% | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | 4-1 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Melhus | Kvik Trondheim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…