Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 2.45)
6.79 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7% | 2.6% | 28.4% |
best score tips
1 - 5
4.3%
2 - 5
3.5%
1 - 4
3.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Brann II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stord | 0 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Stord carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 118 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stord +11.9, Brann II +24.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Stord
vs
Brann II
Elo gapStord +118
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2974.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2974.2
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Stord | Brann II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1528.7 | 1445.5 |
| Form Elo | 1549.1 | 1483.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512.6 | 1459.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1642.5 | 1516.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1368.1 | 1311 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +11.9 | +24.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Stord last-5 Elo change: +11.9; Brann II last-5 Elo change: +24.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stord | Brann II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 56% | 67% |
| Attack | 64% | 64% |
| Defense | 43% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
97%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stord | Brann II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
StordDDW
Brann IIWLW
League goals
| Metric | Stord | Brann II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stord | Brann II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stord | Brann II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stord | Brann II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stord | Brann II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 3-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stord | Brann II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 13% | 87% |
| Total | 29.2% | 70.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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