Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 2.53)
1.28 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5% | 28.2% | 43.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Varhaug | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brodd | 0 | 10.3% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Brodd carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 50 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Brodd -12.7, Varhaug +5.1.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Brodd
vs
Varhaug
Elo gapBrodd +50
Home / draw / away43% / 24% / 33%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo2988.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2988.3
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Brodd | Varhaug |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1501.7 | 1486.6 |
| Form Elo | 1489 | 1487 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1511.1 | 1501.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1640.6 | 1475.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1369.9 | 1494.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -12.7 | +5.1 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Brodd last-5 Elo change: -12.7; Varhaug last-5 Elo change: +5.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brodd | Varhaug |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 44% |
| Attack | 31% | 19% |
| Defense | 56% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brodd | Varhaug | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
BroddLLW
VarhaugWDL
League goals
| Metric | Brodd | Varhaug | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brodd | Varhaug | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brodd | Varhaug | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brodd | Varhaug |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brodd | Varhaug |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 2-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brodd | Varhaug |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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