Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 2.53)
0.51 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.8% | 39.3% | 21.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.1%
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Våg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Madla | 0 | 27.1% | 14.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Madla carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 97 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Madla +20.4, Våg +13.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Madla
vs
Våg
Elo gapMadla +97
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3088.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3088.2
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Madla | Våg |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1575.2 | 1513 |
| Form Elo | 1606.2 | 1532.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1522.3 | 1470.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1665.9 | 1683.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1489 | 1329.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.4 | +13.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Madla last-5 Elo change: +20.4; Våg last-5 Elo change: +13.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Madla | Våg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 31% |
| Defense | 75% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Madla | Våg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
MadlaWDW
VågWLW
League goals
| Metric | Madla | Våg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Madla | Våg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Madla | Våg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Madla | Våg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Madla | Våg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Madla | Våg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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