Expected Goals
0.20 (league 2.51)
1.82 (league 1.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5% | 18.6% | 76.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.2%
0 - 2
22.0%
0 - 3
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Vindbjart | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Odd II | 0 | 13.3% | 24.2% | 22.0% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Vindbjart carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 103 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Odd II -18.0, Vindbjart +14.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Odd II
vs
Vindbjart
Elo gapVindbjart +103
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo3091.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3091.5
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Odd II | Vindbjart |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1476.6 | 1614.9 |
| Form Elo | 1454.3 | 1637.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1480.4 | 1510.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1647.6 | 1757.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1376.4 | 1565.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -18.0 | +14.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Odd II last-5 Elo change: -18.0; Vindbjart last-5 Elo change: +14.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Odd II | Vindbjart |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 75% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 13% | 94% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 3.5 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Odd II | Vindbjart | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Odd IIWLLD
VindbjartLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Odd II | Vindbjart | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 7.0 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Odd II | Vindbjart | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 75% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Odd II | Vindbjart | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Odd II | Vindbjart |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Odd II | Vindbjart |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 4-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Odd II | Vindbjart |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 7% | 93% |
| Poisson Distribution | 10% | 90% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 25.7% | 74.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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