Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.42 (league 2.47) 2.51 (league 1.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 18.3% 57.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 3
7.4%
1 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ulfstind
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skjetten 0 2.0% 4.9% 6.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6%
1 2.8% 7.0% 8.8% 7.4% 4.6% 2.3%
2 2.0% 5.0% 6.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6%
3 0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Skjetten carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 54 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Skjetten -27.0, Ulfstind 0.0.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Skjetten Elo 1481.6 · -27.0
vs
Ulfstind Elo 1462.7 · 0.0
Elo gapSkjetten +54
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2944.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2944.3
Elo home share 58%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Skjetten Ulfstind
Overall Elo1481.61462.7
Form Elo1436.51456.5
Home / Away Elo1498.91449.5
Attack Elo1585.51550.2
Defense Elo14331308.4
Last 5 Elo change-27.00.0

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Skjetten last-5 Elo change: -27.0; Ulfstind last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSkjettenUlfstind
Played33
Form11%44%
Attack13%35%
Defense70%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 18 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 2.39 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Skjetten Ulfstind
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%0%0%100%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%50%33%
Loses100%50%67%0%50%33%
SkjettenDLL
UlfstindDWL

League goals

Metric Skjetten Ulfstind
HATHAT
GF total123538
GF avg1.01.01.05.01.52.7
GA total347279
GA avg3.02.02.32.03.53.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSkjettenUlfstind
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%67%100%
1.50%67%67%100%
2.50%67%67%67%
3.50%0%33%33%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSkjettenUlfstind
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSkjettenUlfstind
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSkjettenUlfstind
Wins01
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——5-2—
Biggest losses1-33-1—4-0
Goals For1153
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricSkjettenUlfstind
Form20%80%
Att27%73%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total34.0%66.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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