Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 2.21)
0.79 (league 1.76)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8% | 17.8% | 11.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Raelingen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Drøbak / Frogn | 0 | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Drøbak / Frogn carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 30 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Drøbak / Frogn +3.1, Raelingen -4.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Drøbak / Frogn
vs
Raelingen
Elo gapDrøbak / Frogn +30
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3009
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3009
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1501.9 | 1507.1 |
| Form Elo | 1503 | 1503.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1490.4 | 1492.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1537.9 | 1527.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1421.4 | 1465.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.1 | -4.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Drøbak / Frogn last-5 Elo change: +3.1; Raelingen last-5 Elo change: -4.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 11% | 39% |
| Defense | 89% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 7 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 9 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Drøbak / FrognDWL
RaelingenLWD
League goals
| Metric | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Drøbak / Frogn | Raelingen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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