Sat, May 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
6.07 (league 2.22)
1.29 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.6%
4 - 1
4.6%
5 - 0
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Fram | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lillehammer | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Lillehammer carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 22 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Lillehammer +20.0, Fram -12.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Lillehammer
vs
Fram
Elo gapLillehammer +22
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3128
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3128
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Lillehammer | Fram |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1557.4 | 1570.6 |
| Form Elo | 1577.1 | 1558.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1520.1 | 1556.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1614.8 | 1683.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1446.1 | 1459.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.0 | -12.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Lillehammer last-5 Elo change: +20.0; Fram last-5 Elo change: -12.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lillehammer | Fram |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 75% | 33% |
| Attack | 88% | 31% |
| Defense | 56% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lillehammer | Fram | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
LillehammerWWLW
FramLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Lillehammer | Fram | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 4.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lillehammer | Fram | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lillehammer | Fram | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lillehammer | Fram |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lillehammer | Fram |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-2 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-3 | 0-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lillehammer | Fram |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 74% | 26% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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