Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.49)
0.22 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 83.4% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
20.1%
3 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Igalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grbalj | 0 | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Grbalj carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 218 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Grbalj +1.5, Igalo -29.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Grbalj
vs
Igalo
Elo gapGrbalj +218
Home / draw / away64% / 18% / 18%
Expected home share78%
Combined Elo2937.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2937.9
Elo home share
78%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Grbalj | Igalo |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1560.4 | 1377.5 |
| Form Elo | 1567.1 | 1357.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1568.4 | 1437.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1576.6 | 1359 |
| Defense Elo | 1521.6 | 1390.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.5 | -29.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Grbalj last-5 Elo change: +1.5; Igalo last-5 Elo change: -29.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grbalj | Igalo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 0% |
| Defense | 25% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grbalj | Igalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 87% | 40% | 63% | 33% | 7% | 20% |
| Draws | 7% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 33% | 23% |
| Loses | 7% | 47% | 27% | 53% | 60% | 57% |
GrbaljDLWWWDWWDLWWWLWLLWWWWWWLWWLWLW
IgaloWWDLLWLLWLLDLLDDDLWLDLLWLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Grbalj | Igalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 19 | 53 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grbalj | Igalo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 73% | 40% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 23% | 10% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 3% | 3% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grbalj | Igalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grbalj | Igalo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grbalj | Igalo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grbalj | Igalo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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