Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:00 • Stadion Topolica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.47) 0.99 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 23.6% 21.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mladost DG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mornar 0 6.5% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.2% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMornarMladost DG
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack86%100%
Defense29%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mornar Mladost DG
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins50%36%43%60%27%43%
Draws40%18%29%0%27%14%
Loses10%45%29%40%45%43%

Form: Mornar: LDLWLWDDDWWWWWDLWLWLD • Mladost DG: LDWLWLLLWLWWLWWLLDWDW

League goals

Metric Mornar Mladost DG
HATHAT
GF total161127191231
GF avg1.61.01.31.91.11.5
GA total101424121830
GA avg1.01.31.11.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMornarMladost DG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%71%76%62%
1.533%38%38%48%
2.514%5%19%29%
3.50%0%10%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMornarMladost DG
HATHAT
Clean sheets336448
Failed to score134145

Penalties

MetricMornarMladost DG
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricMornarMladost DG
Wins52
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-35-23-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-34-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricMornarMladost DG
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h100%0%
Goals74%26%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Double chance : Mornar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mornar = 1.74 (league 1.47), Mladost DG = 0.99 (league 1.11)

Mladost DG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mornar 0 6.5% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.2% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 21.4%

vtt 4 , vtd1