Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:30 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.41)
0.58 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7% | 46.2% | 32.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
36.7%
0 - 1
21.2%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Bokelj | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jedinstvo | 0 | 36.7% | 21.2% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Jedinstvo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 31 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jedinstvo -3.6, Bokelj +12.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Jedinstvo
vs
Bokelj
Elo gapJedinstvo +31
Home / draw / away40% / 26% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2852.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2852.7
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Jedinstvo | Bokelj |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1424.2 | 1428.5 |
| Form Elo | 1424 | 1419.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1456.9 | 1489.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1417.6 | 1389.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1446.3 | 1457.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -3.6 | +12.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Jedinstvo last-5 Elo change: -3.6; Bokelj last-5 Elo change: +12.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jedinstvo | Bokelj |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 56% | 33% |
| Defense | 0% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jedinstvo | Bokelj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 20% | 23% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 27% | 40% | 33% |
| Loses | 53% | 60% | 57% | 53% | 40% | 47% |
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BokeljLDDDLLLLWLLWDLDWWDDDDLLLLWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Jedinstvo | Bokelj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 29 | 43 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jedinstvo | Bokelj | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 77% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 37% | 27% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 17% | 7% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jedinstvo | Bokelj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jedinstvo | Bokelj |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jedinstvo | Bokelj |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jedinstvo | Bokelj |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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