Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 16:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.50)
0.91 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.5% | 25.2% | 21.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting Braga U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Torreense U23 | 0 | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Torreense U23 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 101 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Torreense U23 +4.9, Sporting Braga U23 -11.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Torreense U23
vs
Sporting Braga U23
Elo gapTorreense U23 +101
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3112.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3112.8
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1589.5 | 1523.3 |
| Form Elo | 1595.9 | 1506.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.1 | 1502.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1557.6 | 1546.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1617.4 | 1464 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.9 | -11.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Torreense U23 last-5 Elo change: +4.9; Sporting Braga U23 last-5 Elo change: -11.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 73% | 64% |
| Defense | 55% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 57% | 60% | 59% | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Draws | 7% | 7% | 7% | 36% | 8% | 22% |
| Loses | 36% | 33% | 34% | 21% | 54% | 37% |
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Sporting Braga U23WWDLDDDWWLWWLDWWDLLLLWWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 24 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 72% | 81% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 24% | 67% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 0% | 11% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Torreense U23 | Sporting Braga U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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