Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.47) 1.04 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 20.9% 18.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Marítimo U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 4.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.4% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrela U23Marítimo U23
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack67%17%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela U23 Marítimo U23
HATHAT
Played121123101121
Wins42%18%30%20%9%14%
Draws25%27%26%20%18%19%
Loses33%55%43%60%73%67%

Form: Estrela U23: LDWLLDLDLDLWLLDWLWWWWDL • Marítimo U23: LLWDLLLDLDLLWLLDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Estrela U23 Marítimo U23
HATHAT
GF total16173371219
GF avg1.31.51.40.71.10.9
GA total142337192544
GA avg1.22.11.61.92.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrela U23Marítimo U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%87%62%86%
1.539%43%29%62%
2.513%22%0%29%
3.59%9%0%14%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrela U23Marítimo U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score314538

Penalties

MetricEstrela U23Marítimo U23
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricEstrela U23Marítimo U23
Wins41
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-00-66-2
Goals For4422
Goals Against3466

Model comparison

MetricEstrela U23Marítimo U23
Form77%23%
Att80%20%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total72.0%28.0%

Advice: Winner : Estrela U23

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Unibet
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela U23 = 2.04 (league 1.47), Marítimo U23 = 1.04 (league 1.27)

Marítimo U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 4.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.4% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 18.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1