Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.48) 1.46 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 24.1% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
União Leiria U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave U23 0 4.8% 7.0% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.0% 8.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRio Ave U23União Leiria U23
Played55
Form80%7%
Attack50%33%
Defense78%28%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rio Ave U23 União Leiria U23
HATHAT
Played91221101121
Wins44%42%43%10%27%19%
Draws22%8%14%10%45%29%
Loses33%50%43%80%27%52%

Form: Rio Ave U23: LLWLWDLLLDLWDWWLLWWWW • União Leiria U23: DWLWWWDLDLDLLDLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Rio Ave U23 União Leiria U23
HATHAT
GF total161531111223
GF avg1.81.31.51.11.11.1
GA total151732221436
GA avg1.71.41.52.21.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRio Ave U23União Leiria U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%81%81%86%
1.543%52%24%48%
2.514%19%5%29%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRio Ave U23União Leiria U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets044123
Failed to score022314

Penalties

MetricRio Ave U23União Leiria U23
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricRio Ave U23União Leiria U23
Wins23
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-11-43-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricRio Ave U23União Leiria U23
Form92%8%
Att60%40%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.5%29.5%

Advice: Double chance : Rio Ave U23 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rio Ave U23 = 1.58 (league 1.48), União Leiria U23 = 1.46 (league 1.28)

União Leiria U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave U23 0 4.8% 7.0% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.0% 8.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 34.8%

vtt 7 , vtd1