Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.48) 1.03 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.5% 27.1% 28.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.4%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Estoril U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 9.0% 9.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.8% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack47%47%
Defense71%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela U23 Estoril U23
HATHAT
Played131124131023
Wins38%18%29%23%20%22%
Draws23%27%25%31%20%26%
Loses38%55%46%46%60%52%

Form: Estrela U23: LDWLLDLDLDLWLLDWLWWWWDLL • Estoril U23: LWLLDDLDLLDLLDDLWLWWLWL

League goals

Metric Estrela U23 Estoril U23
HATHAT
GF total161733161127
GF avg1.21.51.41.21.11.2
GA total152338241741
GA avg1.22.11.61.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrela U23Estoril U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%88%70%91%
1.538%42%35%57%
2.513%21%13%22%
3.58%8%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score415437

Penalties

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
Wins42
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-02-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-53-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against3453

Model comparison

MetricEstrela U23Estoril U23
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Estrela U23 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela U23 = 1.38 (league 1.48), Estoril U23 = 1.03 (league 1.28)

Estoril U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 9.0% 9.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.8% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 28.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1