Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.46) 1.04 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 30.6% 36.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Rio Ave U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 13.2% 13.8% 7.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrela U23Rio Ave U23
Played55
Form20%100%
Attack13%100%
Defense50%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela U23 Rio Ave U23
HATHAT
Played151328121325
Wins33%15%25%58%46%52%
Draws27%38%32%17%8%12%
Loses40%46%43%25%46%36%

Form: Estrela U23: LDWLLDLDLDLWLLDWLWWWWDLLDDLD • Rio Ave U23: LLWLWDLLLDLWDWWLLWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Estrela U23 Rio Ave U23
HATHAT
GF total161834241640
GF avg1.11.41.22.01.21.6
GA total172441191736
GA avg1.11.81.51.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrela U23Rio Ave U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%82%92%76%
1.532%39%48%52%
2.511%18%20%16%
3.57%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrela U23Rio Ave U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets325156
Failed to score628022

Penalties

MetricEstrela U23Rio Ave U23
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricEstrela U23Rio Ave U23
Wins42
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-33-1
Goals For4433
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricEstrela U23Rio Ave U23
Form17%83%
Att8%92%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total32.4%67.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rio Ave U23

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela U23 = 0.98 (league 1.46), Rio Ave U23 = 1.04 (league 1.26)

Rio Ave U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela U23 0 13.2% 13.8% 7.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 36.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1