União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23

Liga Revelação U23 — Portugal

Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
27.4%	23.0%	48.3%

		Rio Ave U23
União Leiria U23	0	4.5%	8.1%	7.3%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
1	5.8%	10.5%	9.5%	5.7%	2.6%	0.9%
2	3.8%	6.8%	6.2%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
3	1.6%	3.0%	2.7%	1.6%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.5%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
5	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Away edge

Rio Ave U23 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 47 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: União Leiria U23 +27.1, Rio Ave U23 -8.2.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone

União Leiria U23 Elo 1431.9 · +27.1

Rio Ave U23 Elo 1513.6 · -8.2

Elo gapRio Ave U23 +47

Home / draw / away32% / 25% / 43%

Expected home share43%

Combined Elo2945.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away edge

Confidence band Medium confidence

Upset risk Medium

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2945.5

Elo home share 43%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	União Leiria U23	Rio Ave U23
Overall Elo	1431.9	1513.6
Form Elo	1443.7	1527
Home / Away Elo	1443.6	1490.9
Attack Elo	1484.2	1490.4
Defense Elo	1445.9	1484.5
Last 5 Elo change	+27.1	-8.2

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. União Leiria U23 last-5 Elo change: +27.1; Rio Ave U23 last-5 Elo change: -8.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	União Leiria U23	Rio Ave U23
Played	5	5
Form	53%	60%
Attack	82%	64%
Defense	55%	45%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%

FT probability

2.5+

59%

FT probability

3.5+

42%

FT probability

BTTS

74%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	União Leiria U23			Rio Ave U23
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	16	31	15	14	29
Wins	20%	31%	26%	60%	43%	52%
Draws	13%	38%	26%	13%	7%	10%
Loses	67%	31%	48%	27%	50%	38%

União Leiria U23DWLWWWDLDLDLLDLLLLDLLLLLWWLDDWW

Rio Ave U23LLWLWDLLLDLWDWWLLWWWWWWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric	União Leiria U23			Rio Ave U23
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	22	18	40	28	16	44
GF avg	1.5	1.1	1.3	1.9	1.1	1.5
GA total	31	18	49	22	18	40
GA avg	2.1	1.1	1.6	1.5	1.3	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	União Leiria U23		Rio Ave U23
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	77%	81%	86%	76%
1.5	32%	48%	45%	48%
2.5	13%	23%	21%	14%
3.5	6%	6%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	União Leiria U23			Rio Ave U23
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	4	6	2	5	7
Failed to score	4	3	7	1	3	4

Penalties

Metric	União Leiria U23	Rio Ave U23
Scored (total \| %)	6 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	6	4

Streaks

Metric	União Leiria U23	Rio Ave U23
Wins	3	8
Draws	2	1
Losses	5	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-3	3-1	0-3
Biggest losses	1-4	3-1	1-3	3-1
Goals For	4	3	3	3
Goals Against	4	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	União Leiria U23	Rio Ave U23
Form	47%	53%
Att	56%	44%
Def	55%	45%
Poisson Distribution	42%	58%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	0%	100%
Total	50.0%	50.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23

Metric	União Leiria U23	Rio Ave U23
Scored (total \| %)	6 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	6	4

União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23