Liga MX U21
— Mexico
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.68)
0.69 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.4% | 28.8% | 19.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres UANL U21 | 0 | 13.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 42% | 50% |
| Defense | 42% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 82% | 55% | 68% | 70% | 40% | 55% |
| Draws | 9% | 9% | 9% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Loses | 9% | 36% | 23% | 30% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Tigres UANL U21: WLWWWLWWWWWWWLWWWDDWLL • Toluca U21: WWWLLLWWLLWWWLWLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 17 | 41 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 64% | 75% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 23% | 45% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 5% | 15% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 5% | 10% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-5 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tigres UANL U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Toluca U21
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tigres UANL U21 = 1.31 (league 1.68), Toluca U21 = 0.69 (league 1.01)
| Toluca U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres UANL U21 | 0 | 13.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 19.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1