Liga MX U21 — Mexico
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.58) 1.07 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.2% 27.4% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Juarez U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca U21 0 9.1% 9.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.9% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca U21Juarez U21
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack100%88%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca U21 Juarez U21
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins71%36%54%64%43%54%
Draws0%7%4%7%0%4%
Loses29%57%43%29%57%43%

Form: Toluca U21: WWWLLLWWLLWWWLWLWLDWWLWWWLLL • Juarez U21: LLLWLWLLWWLLWLWWWDLWWWLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Toluca U21 Juarez U21
HATHAT
GF total271643161228
GF avg1.91.11.51.10.91.0
GA total18183671623
GA avg1.31.31.30.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca U21Juarez U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%68%54%
1.550%39%21%21%
2.518%11%11%4%
3.511%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca U21Juarez U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets4379413
Failed to score167369

Penalties

MetricToluca U21Juarez U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%22 | 84.62%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 15.38%
Total126

Streaks

MetricToluca U21Juarez U21
Wins33
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-01-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-24-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricToluca U21Juarez U21
Form33%67%
Att56%44%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total41.8%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Juarez U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.04 @ Marathonbet
Away2.72 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Unibet
No1.63 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toluca U21 = 1.32 (league 1.58), Juarez U21 = 1.07 (league 1.10)

Juarez U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca U21 0 9.1% 9.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.9% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 30.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1