Liga MX U21 — Mexico
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Juarez U21

—

Atl. San Luis U21

Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.48) 1.15 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.9% 22.6% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atl. San Luis U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juarez U21 0 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.2% 10.5% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.8% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.3% 6.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Juarez U21 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 89 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Juarez U21 -22.2, Atl. San Luis U21 -13.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Juarez U21 Elo 1540.1 · -22.2
vs
Atl. San Luis U21 Elo 1485.7 · -13.1
Elo gapJuarez U21 +89
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3025.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3025.8
Elo home share 63%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Juarez U21 Atl. San Luis U21
Overall Elo1540.11485.7
Form Elo1531.51483
Home / Away Elo1520.81471.9
Attack Elo1471.71512.6
Defense Elo1582.81479.6
Last 5 Elo change-22.2-13.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Juarez U21 last-5 Elo change: -22.2; Atl. San Luis U21 last-5 Elo change: -13.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuarez U21Atl. San Luis U21
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack35%53%
Defense53%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juarez U21 Atl. San Luis U21
HATHAT
Played171835171633
Wins59%39%49%59%25%42%
Draws6%6%6%0%0%0%
Loses35%56%46%41%75%58%
Juarez U21LLLWLWLLWWLLWLWWWDLWWWLWWLWWDLWWLLL
Atl. San Luis U21LWLWLWLLLLWLWLWLLWLWLWWLWWLLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Juarez U21 Atl. San Luis U21
HATHAT
GF total211839262349
GF avg1.21.01.11.51.41.5
GA total152237213657
GA avg0.91.21.11.22.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuarez U21Atl. San Luis U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%60%82%85%
1.531%29%39%61%
2.511%11%27%24%
3.50%6%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuarez U21Atl. San Luis U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets9514505
Failed to score4711426

Penalties

MetricJuarez U21Atl. San Luis U21
Scored (total | %)23 | 85.19%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)4 | 14.81%0 | 0%
Total273

Streaks

MetricJuarez U21Atl. San Luis U21
Wins32
Draws10
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-34-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricJuarez U21Atl. San Luis U21
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total52.0%48.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Juarez U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21