League Cup — England
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 20:00 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.53) 2.23 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.3% 16.8% 72.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 1
13.3%
0 - 3
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 6.0% 13.3% 14.8% 11.0% 6.1% 2.7%
1 3.5% 7.9% 8.7% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6%
2 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaArsenal
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack64%43%
Defense64%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.71 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Arsenal
HATHAT
Played033213
Wins—100%100%100%100%100%
Draws—0%0%0%0%0%
Loses—0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Chelsea: WWW • Arsenal: WWW

League goals

Metric Chelsea Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total099426
GF avg0.03.03.02.02.02.0
GA total055101
GA avg0.01.71.70.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%33%
1.5100%33%100%0%
2.567%33%0%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChelseaArsenal
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChelseaArsenal
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-00-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0422
Goals Against0310

Model comparison

MetricChelseaArsenal
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 1xBet
Away2.25 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 0.59 (league 1.53), Arsenal = 2.23 (league 1.53)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 6.0% 13.3% 14.8% 11.0% 6.1% 2.7%
1 3.5% 7.9% 8.7% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6%
2 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 72.2%

vtt 5 , vtd4