League Cup
— England
Tue, Feb 3 2026 • 20:00 •
Emirates Stadium
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.36)
1.04 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 17.1% | 13.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
9.1%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Chelsea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arsenal | 0 | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arsenal | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 75% |
| Attack | 60% | 73% |
| Defense | 80% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 11 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arsenal | Chelsea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 25% |
ArsenalWWWW
ChelseaWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Arsenal | Chelsea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arsenal | Chelsea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 25% | 100% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arsenal | Chelsea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arsenal | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arsenal | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arsenal | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away5.00 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ SBO
Under 2.52.33 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Betano
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League standings
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