Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.05)
1.52 (league 0.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5% | 25.9% | 50.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Moron | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 0 | 8.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 56% | 56% |
| Attack | 80% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Ferro Carril Oeste: WDD • Deportivo Moron: DDW
League goals
| Metric | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Moron
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ferro Carril Oeste = 0.95 (league 1.05), Deportivo Moron = 1.52 (league 0.66)
| Deportivo Moron | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 0 | 8.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 50.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1