Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Tres de Febrero
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.05)
1.50 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | 24.5% | 69.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
26.4%
0 - 2
19.8%
0 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Moron | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almagro | 0 | 17.6% | 26.3% | 19.7% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almagro | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 25% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almagro | Deportivo Moron | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
AlmagroDLLDW
Deportivo MoronDDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Almagro | Deportivo Moron | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almagro | Deportivo Moron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 60% | 100% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almagro | Deportivo Moron | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almagro | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almagro | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almagro | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 33.2% | 67.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ BetVictor
Away2.50 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.54.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.29 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.52 @ Betano
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League standings
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