Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 18:30 • Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.04) 2.25 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 17.4% 28.0%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
San Telmo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.7% 3.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.4% 5.5% 6.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
3 2.3% 5.3% 6.0% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.7% 3.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
5 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Telmo
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Moron San Telmo
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%33%50%25%0%17%
Draws33%33%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%33%17%75%0%50%
Deportivo MoronDDWWWL
San TelmoLDLDWL

League goals

Metric Deportivo Moron San Telmo
HATHAT
GF total6410538
GF avg2.01.31.71.31.51.3
GA total3369312
GA avg1.01.01.02.31.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MoronSan Telmo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%100%
1.550%33%50%67%
2.533%0%17%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Telmo
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Telmo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Telmo
Wins31
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-1—
Biggest losses—2-00-3—
Goals For3332
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Telmo
Form67%33%
Att53%47%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total54.8%45.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 10Bet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away8.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.50 @ 10Bet
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League standings

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