Iraqi League — Iraq
Wed, Dec 31 2025 • 13:00 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.37 (league 1.19) 1.20 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.0% 11.9% 9.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 1
7.1%
4 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Naft Maysan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilNaft Maysan
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack70%60%
Defense70%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Naft Maysan
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins100%50%75%0%25%13%
Draws0%50%25%25%25%25%
Loses0%0%0%75%50%63%

Form: Erbil: WWDWWWWD • Naft Maysan: LWLLLLDD

League goals

Metric Erbil Naft Maysan
HATHAT
GF total8513459
GF avg2.01.31.61.01.31.1
GA total4268816
GA avg1.00.50.82.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilNaft Maysan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%88%100%
1.550%13%25%63%
2.525%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilNaft Maysan
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricErbilNaft Maysan
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricErbilNaft Maysan
Wins41
Draws10
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-3—1-2
Biggest losses——1-34-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2134

Model comparison

MetricErbilNaft Maysan
Form87%13%
Att54%46%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total73.8%26.2%

Advice: Double chance : Erbil or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw3.75 @ Superbet
Away6.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 3.37 (league 1.19), Naft Maysan = 1.20 (league 1.08)

Naft Maysan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.0% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 9.4%

vtt 10 , vtd1