Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 17:50 •
Al-Jouf University Stadium
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.48)
1.80 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 22.3% | 62.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 2
13.2%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Orubah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Jandal | 0 | 8.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Al Orubah carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 91 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Al Jandal -2.3, Al Orubah +0.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Al Jandal
vs
Al Orubah
Elo gapAl Orubah +91
Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%
Expected home share37%
Combined Elo2895.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2895.1
Elo home share
37%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Al Jandal | Al Orubah |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1384.8 | 1510.3 |
| Form Elo | 1377.6 | 1498.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1448.8 | 1536.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1388 | 1503.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1390.6 | 1454.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.3 | +0.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Al Jandal last-5 Elo change: -2.3; Al Orubah last-5 Elo change: +0.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Jandal | Al Orubah |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 31% |
| Defense | 50% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Jandal | Al Orubah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 20% | 23% | 40% | 67% | 53% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
Al JandalWWDLDLLLWDWLLLDDWLDLLLLDDWLWLL
Al OrubahLWWWWDWLWWDDWWWLDWWLWDLLLWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Al Jandal | Al Orubah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 17 | 28 | 45 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 20 | 32 | 52 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Jandal | Al Orubah | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 83% | 73% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 50% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 27% | 23% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Jandal | Al Orubah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Jandal | Al Orubah |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Jandal | Al Orubah |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Jandal | Al Orubah |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away1.78 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…