Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 17:00 • Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.47) 0.94 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 21.6% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 0
10.5%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Malacateco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 5.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.9% 10.3% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuroraMalacateco
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack55%55%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aurora Malacateco
HATHAT
Played141529141327
Wins64%20%41%71%23%48%
Draws29%27%28%0%8%4%
Loses7%53%31%29%69%48%

Form: Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDD • Malacateco: LDLWLLWLWLWLWLLLWWWWWLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Aurora Malacateco
HATHAT
GF total211839221032
GF avg1.51.21.31.60.81.2
GA total133043102535
GA avg0.92.01.50.71.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuroraMalacateco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%79%74%67%
1.548%45%37%33%
2.510%14%7%19%
3.50%10%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuroraMalacateco
HATHAT
Clean sheets516729
Failed to score257257

Penalties

MetricAuroraMalacateco
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAuroraMalacateco
Wins35
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-14-02-34-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricAuroraMalacateco
Form18%82%
Att50%50%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Malacateco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aurora = 1.93 (league 1.47), Malacateco = 0.94 (league 0.76)

Malacateco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 5.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.9% 10.3% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 17.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1