Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 03:00 • Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.48) 1.47 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 25.6% 42.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Antigua GFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 6.8% 10.0% 7.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.3% 12.2% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarquenseAntigua GFC
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack20%40%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marquense Antigua GFC
HATHAT
Played121325161531
Wins58%0%28%69%40%55%
Draws17%23%20%19%7%13%
Loses25%77%52%13%53%32%

Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLLLLWL • Antigua GFC: WWLWLWDWWDLWWLWLWDWWLWLWWWWLLDL

League goals

Metric Marquense Antigua GFC
HATHAT
GF total14519292150
GF avg1.20.40.81.81.41.6
GA total102939112334
GA avg0.82.21.60.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarquenseAntigua GFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%72%84%61%
1.58%52%55%29%
2.58%24%19%13%
3.54%4%3%3%
4.50%4%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarquenseAntigua GFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets6177512
Failed to score3811235

Penalties

MetricMarquenseAntigua GFC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMarquenseAntigua GFC
Wins14
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-25-1
Goals For4143
Goals Against2525

Model comparison

MetricMarquenseAntigua GFC
Form43%57%
Att33%67%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Antigua GFC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 1.22 (league 1.48), Antigua GFC = 1.47 (league 0.76)

Antigua GFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 6.8% 10.0% 7.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.3% 12.2% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 42.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1