Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Winston Pineda
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.48) 1.73 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 19.9% 28.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Achuapa 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.1% 7.1% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.7% 8.1% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.1% 3.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAchuapaAurora
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack50%70%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Achuapa Aurora
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins53%7%30%67%20%43%
Draws27%33%30%27%27%27%
Loses20%60%40%7%53%30%

Form: Achuapa: DDWLDWLWLDLLLWWLLDDWLDWDDLLLWW • Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDDW

League goals

Metric Achuapa Aurora
HATHAT
GF total26531221840
GF avg1.70.31.01.51.21.3
GA total172239133043
GA avg1.11.51.30.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAchuapaAurora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%70%77%77%
1.533%40%47%43%
2.510%13%10%13%
3.53%3%0%10%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAchuapaAurora
HATHAT
Clean sheets459617
Failed to score21113257

Penalties

MetricAchuapaAurora
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAchuapaAurora
Wins23
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-20-2
Biggest losses2-35-10-14-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricAchuapaAurora
Form55%45%
Att42%58%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h15%85%
Goals38%62%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.90 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Achuapa = 2.30 (league 1.48), Aurora = 1.73 (league 0.76)

Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Achuapa 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.1% 7.1% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.7% 8.1% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.1% 3.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 28.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1