Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 02:00 • Estadio Mario Camposeco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.13 (league 1.47) 0.31 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.2% 7.2% 1.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
15.6%
4 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Marquense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xelajú 0 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.8% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricXelajúMarquense
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack78%44%
Defense67%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Xelajú Marquense
HATHAT
Played131528131427
Wins62%20%39%54%0%26%
Draws23%13%18%23%21%22%
Loses15%67%43%23%79%52%

Form: Xelajú: WLDLWDWLDLWWLLLWLDLWWWLWDLWL • Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLLLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Xelajú Marquense
HATHAT
GF total27134015621
GF avg2.10.91.41.20.40.8
GA total82331113142
GA avg0.61.51.10.82.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineXelajúMarquense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%64%59%74%
1.536%36%7%52%
2.521%7%7%22%
3.57%4%4%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricXelajúMarquense
HATHAT
Clean sheets8210617
Failed to score3473811

Penalties

MetricXelajúMarquense
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricXelajúMarquense
Wins31
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-24-1
Biggest losses0-24-10-25-0
Goals For5241
Goals Against2425

Model comparison

MetricXelajúMarquense
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Winner : Xelajú

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away9.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Xelajú = 3.13 (league 1.47), Marquense = 0.31 (league 0.76)

Marquense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xelajú 0 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.8% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.2% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 1.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1