Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 02:00 • Estadio Pensativo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.46) 1.26 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.8% 18.1% 17.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 1
7.6%
1 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Antigua GFC 0 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.9% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAntigua GFCAurora
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack38%88%
Defense38%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Antigua GFC Aurora
HATHAT
Played171734161632
Wins65%35%50%69%19%44%
Draws18%18%18%25%25%25%
Loses18%47%32%6%56%31%

Form: Antigua GFC: WWLWLWDWWDLWWLWLWDWWLWLWWWWLLDLDLD • Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Antigua GFC Aurora
HATHAT
GF total302252231942
GF avg1.81.31.51.41.21.3
GA total132437133245
GA avg0.81.41.10.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAntigua GFCAurora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%62%78%75%
1.550%29%44%44%
2.518%12%9%13%
3.53%3%0%9%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAntigua GFCAurora
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613718
Failed to score246257

Penalties

MetricAntigua GFCAurora
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAntigua GFCAurora
Wins43
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-20-2
Biggest losses1-25-10-14-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricAntigua GFCAurora
Form27%73%
Att30%70%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Bet365
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away8.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Antigua GFC = 2.47 (league 1.46), Aurora = 1.26 (league 0.76)

Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Antigua GFC 0 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.9% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 17.8%

vtt 4 , vtd1