Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Winston Pineda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.47) 1.15 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.0% 23.7% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Achuapa 0 5.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAchuapaXelajú
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack50%67%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Achuapa Xelajú
HATHAT
Played171734151631
Wins59%6%32%67%19%42%
Draws24%41%32%20%13%16%
Loses18%53%35%13%69%42%

Form: Achuapa: DDWLDWLWLDLLLWWLLDDWLDWDDLLLWWWDWD • Xelajú: WLDLWDWLDLWWLLLWLDLWWWLWDLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Achuapa Xelajú
HATHAT
GF total29736331346
GF avg1.70.41.12.20.81.5
GA total182442112435
GA avg1.11.41.20.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAchuapaXelajú
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%71%74%68%
1.532%35%39%35%
2.59%12%23%6%
3.53%3%10%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAchuapaXelajú
HATHAT
Clean sheets55108210
Failed to score21113358

Penalties

MetricAchuapaXelajú
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAchuapaXelajú
Wins33
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-15-01-2
Biggest losses2-35-10-24-1
Goals For4252
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricAchuapaXelajú
Form55%45%
Att43%57%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Achuapa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Achuapa = 1.73 (league 1.47), Xelajú = 1.15 (league 0.76)

Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Achuapa 0 5.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 25.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1