Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 03:00 • Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.47) 1.30 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 24.2% 30.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.3% 7.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.2% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarquenseAurora
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack88%63%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marquense Aurora
HATHAT
Played141630171734
Wins57%0%27%71%18%44%
Draws21%19%20%24%24%24%
Loses21%81%53%6%59%32%

Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLLLLWLDLLWL • Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Marquense Aurora
HATHAT
GF total17926251944
GF avg1.20.60.91.51.11.3
GA total123749133447
GA avg0.92.31.60.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarquenseAurora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%77%76%74%
1.513%53%44%44%
2.57%23%9%12%
3.53%7%0%9%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarquenseAurora
HATHAT
Clean sheets617819
Failed to score3811268

Penalties

MetricMarquenseAurora
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMarquenseAurora
Wins13
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-14-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricMarquenseAurora
Form31%69%
Att58%42%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total39.7%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 1.63 (league 1.47), Aurora = 1.30 (league 0.76)

Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.3% 7.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.2% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 30.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1