Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.47) 0.55 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.2% 7.4% 2.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.6%
2 - 0
11.0%
4 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Marquense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal 0 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 6.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMunicipalMarquense
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack89%67%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Municipal Marquense
HATHAT
Played191736151631
Wins79%35%58%53%0%26%
Draws16%41%28%27%19%23%
Loses5%24%14%20%81%52%

Form: Municipal: DWWDWDDWWDWWLWDWWLWWWWWDWLWLDWWWDDWL • Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLLLLWLDLLWLD

League goals

Metric Municipal Marquense
HATHAT
GF total41196017926
GF avg2.21.11.71.10.60.8
GA total131427123749
GA avg0.70.80.80.82.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMunicipalMarquense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%58%61%74%
1.550%17%13%52%
2.531%0%6%23%
3.56%0%3%6%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMunicipalMarquense
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715718
Failed to score0774812

Penalties

MetricMunicipalMarquense
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMunicipalMarquense
Wins51
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-1—
Biggest losses1-22-00-25-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricMunicipalMarquense
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h85%15%
Goals88%13%
Total74.7%25.5%

Advice: Winner : Municipal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ Unibet
Draw6.08 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.44 @ Pinnacle
No1.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Municipal = 3.43 (league 1.47), Marquense = 0.55 (league 0.76)

Marquense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal 0 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 6.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 7.4% · Away win 2.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1