Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.47) 0.84 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 28.9% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Guastatoya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 12.1% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarquenseGuastatoya
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack36%29%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marquense Guastatoya
HATHAT
Played151732171532
Wins53%0%25%35%20%28%
Draws27%18%22%24%20%22%
Loses20%82%53%41%60%50%

Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLLLLWLDLLWLDL • Guastatoya: LLDLLLLLLWDWLDWLWWLWLDWDDLWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Marquense Guastatoya
HATHAT
GF total17926211233
GF avg1.10.50.81.20.81.0
GA total123850222648
GA avg0.82.21.61.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarquenseGuastatoya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%75%63%69%
1.513%50%25%53%
2.56%22%9%22%
3.53%6%3%3%
4.50%3%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarquenseGuastatoya
HATHAT
Clean sheets7187310
Failed to score49135712

Penalties

MetricMarquenseGuastatoya
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMarquenseGuastatoya
Wins12
Draws22
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—5-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-35-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against2535

Model comparison

MetricMarquenseGuastatoya
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guastatoya

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 1.27 (league 1.47), Guastatoya = 0.84 (league 0.76)

Guastatoya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 12.1% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 24.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1