Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio La Asuncion
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.47) 1.15 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 26.3% 30.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 7.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMictlánAurora
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack38%31%
Defense46%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mictlán Aurora
HATHAT
Played161834181836
Wins38%11%24%67%17%42%
Draws38%17%26%28%28%28%
Loses25%72%50%6%56%31%

Form: Mictlán: LDDLDWDLWWWLWLLLLLDLWDLLWDLLLDLWDL • Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDDWLWLWDD

League goals

Metric Mictlán Aurora
HATHAT
GF total171229261945
GF avg1.10.70.91.41.11.3
GA total122840143448
GA avg0.81.61.20.81.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMictlánAurora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%71%75%72%
1.526%38%42%42%
2.56%9%8%11%
3.53%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMictlánAurora
HATHAT
Clean sheets82108210
Failed to score61117279

Penalties

MetricMictlánAurora
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMictlánAurora
Wins33
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses2-33-10-14-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricMictlánAurora
Form38%62%
Att56%44%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away5.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mictlán = 1.42 (league 1.47), Aurora = 1.15 (league 0.76)

Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 7.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 30.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1