Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio La Asuncion
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.46)
1.17 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.6% | 26.2% | 30.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Aurora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mictlán | 0 | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mictlán | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 38% | 31% |
| Defense | 46% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mictlán | Aurora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 18 | 34 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 38% | 11% | 24% | 67% | 17% | 42% |
| Draws | 38% | 17% | 26% | 28% | 28% | 28% |
| Loses | 25% | 72% | 50% | 6% | 56% | 31% |
MictlánLDDLDWDLWWWLWLLLLLDLWDLLWDLLLDLWDL
AuroraWLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDDWLWLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Mictlán | Aurora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 12 | 29 | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 28 | 40 | 14 | 34 | 48 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mictlán | Aurora | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 71% | 75% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 38% | 42% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 9% | 8% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mictlán | Aurora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mictlán | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mictlán | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mictlán | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away4.35 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…