Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:00 • Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.47) 0.84 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 28.2% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 11.4% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.2% 12.8% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuroraXelajú
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack31%38%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aurora Xelajú
HATHAT
Played181836161834
Wins67%17%42%69%17%41%
Draws28%28%28%19%22%21%
Loses6%56%31%13%61%38%

Form: Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDDWLWLWDD • Xelajú: WLDLWDWLDLWWLLLWLDLWWWLWDLWLWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Aurora Xelajú
HATHAT
GF total261945351449
GF avg1.41.11.32.20.81.4
GA total143448112536
GA avg0.81.91.30.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuroraXelajú
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%72%74%65%
1.542%42%38%32%
2.58%11%21%6%
3.50%8%9%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuroraXelajú
HATHAT
Clean sheets82109312
Failed to score279369

Penalties

MetricAuroraXelajú
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAuroraXelajú
Wins33
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-01-2
Biggest losses0-14-00-24-1
Goals For3252
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricAuroraXelajú
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%62%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Aurora or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aurora = 1.33 (league 1.47), Xelajú = 0.84 (league 0.76)

Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 11.4% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.2% 12.8% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 23.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1